Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.001449 0.001612 0.001776 0.001951 0.002132 0.002315 0.002512
2025-09-21 0.001253 0.001495 0.001744 0.002016 0.002303 0.002597 0.002919
2025-09-28 0.001100 0.001405 0.001724 0.002081 0.002464 0.002861 0.003300
2025-10-05 0.000941 0.001292 0.001670 0.002099 0.002567 0.003058 0.003607
2025-10-12 0.000809 0.001198 0.001627 0.002122 0.002670 0.003250 0.003904
2025-10-19 0.000677 0.001092 0.001561 0.002114 0.002733 0.003394 0.004145
2025-10-26 0.000561 0.000994 0.001497 0.002101 0.002785 0.003523 0.004366
2025-11-02 0.000458 0.000902 0.001435 0.002085 0.002829 0.003639 0.004569
2025-11-09 0.000374 0.000826 0.001385 0.002078 0.002880 0.003759 0.004775
2025-11-16 0.000305 0.000761 0.001344 0.002079 0.002938 0.003884 0.004983
2025-11-23 0.000246 0.000704 0.001309 0.002082 0.002995 0.004006 0.005186
2025-11-30 0.000212 0.000679 0.001312 0.002130 0.003103 0.004184 0.005450
2025-12-07 0.000135 0.000588 0.001240 0.002104 0.003146 0.004314 0.005688
2025-12-14 0.000094 0.000546 0.001231 0.002157 0.003282 0.004551 0.006051
2025-12-21 0.000061 0.000509 0.001227 0.002214 0.003424 0.004797 0.006424
2025-12-28 0.000027 0.000451 0.001190 0.002227 0.003513 0.004980 0.006726
2026-01-04 0.000007 0.000402 0.001159 0.002246 0.003608 0.005170 0.007036
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000343 0.001108 0.002235 0.003664 0.005313 0.007291
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000287 0.001056 0.002220 0.003713 0.005446 0.007533
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000236 0.001004 0.002203 0.003756 0.005571 0.007764
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000194 0.000962 0.002195 0.003809 0.005706 0.008006
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000160 0.000928 0.002195 0.003872 0.005851 0.008257
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000130 0.000896 0.002198 0.003936 0.005996 0.008507